Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.09/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.24
-47% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.2 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.06.2025 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
17.09.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
16.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-3 HT 1-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
13.08.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
13.03.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 4-4 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
300 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 47% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 2.50 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?

Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 30%, draw 31%, Sporting Cristal 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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