Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
4-4
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal edged past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 75% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 25%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.38.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Sporting Cristal and 2.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Garcilaso 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.