ADT 1-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

ADT
1-2 HT 1-0
Cusco FC
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.09
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
25.8 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cusco FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
237 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-2 HT 2-2 ADT ADT PER
02.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
16.04.2023 ADT ADT 0-2 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
1-2
AWAY Cusco FC
1.25 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 254
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADT vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC nicked a narrow win over ADT 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADT at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ADT had 56% of the ball to Cusco FC's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ADT and 2.00 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of ADT vs Cusco FC?

ADT 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ADT 46%, draw 24%, Cusco FC 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ADT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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