Crawley Town 0-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.98
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
21%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
15%
4.71
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.29/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.95
+23% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 64%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
12.7 Crosses 18.4
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
30.01.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-1 HT 2-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
31.10.2020 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
02.11.2019 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
26.12.2018 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
06.10.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-2
AWAY Cambridge United
0.81 xG 0.75
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
413 Passes 131
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
32 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United saw off Crawley Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 69% of the ball to Cambridge United's 31%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crawley Town and 1.33 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Cambridge United?

Crawley Town 0-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 43%, draw 29%, Cambridge United 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crawley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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