Tiverton Town 0-5 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
41%
3.45
Away
24%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.78
Over
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
54%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Draw Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
41%
Draw
26%
+15.0pp
24%
Away Win
37%
-13.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town The Market 40%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.45/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.06
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.11.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town cruised past Tiverton Town 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tiverton Town and 2.00 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Tiverton Town 0-5 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 35%, draw 41%, Basingstoke Town 24%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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