Basingstoke Town 1-3 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town The Market 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.57/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.27
-16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.01.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town got the better of Basingstoke Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Basingstoke Town and 2.00 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-3 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 50%, draw 28%, Tiverton Town 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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