Basingstoke Town 3-2 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
46%
-15.7pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town The Market 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.94/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.69
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.08.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town edged past Tiverton Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Basingstoke Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town?

Basingstoke Town 3-2 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tiverton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 30%, draw 34%, Tiverton Town 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiverton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiverton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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