Basel 2-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

Basel
2-0 HT 2-0
Sion
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
19%
4.28
X/2
8%
9.8
X/X
14%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.45
2/2
8%
7.52
2/X
5%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.98/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.92
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.0 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.50 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Basel Basel 4-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
04.12.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSVK
31.08.2024 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
27.04.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
11.02.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
06.11.2022 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
2-0
AWAY Sion
0.62 xG 0.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
460 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Basel vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel beat Sion 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Basel had 58% of the ball to Sion's 42%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Sion.

What was the final score of Basel vs Sion?

Basel 2-0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Basel 54%, draw 24%, Sion 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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