Basel 4-1 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

Basel
4-1 HT 1-1
Sion
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.18
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
11%
9.46
X/X
12%
5.35
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
8%
7.41
2/X
9%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.88/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.82
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.1 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSVK
31.08.2024 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
27.04.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
11.02.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
06.11.2022 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
03.09.2022 Sion Sion 2-1 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
4-1
AWAY Sion
3.07 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
364 Passes 357
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Basel vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Sion 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Basel had 50% of the ball to Sion's 50%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 3.07 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Basel and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of Basel vs Sion?

Basel 4-1 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Basel 45%, draw 27%, Sion 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5
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