St. Gallen 3-2 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.76
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
18%
5.98
X/2
9%
5.79
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.58
2/X
10%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.53/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.29
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.7 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.36 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-4 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.04.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-3 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
20.01.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
22.05.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.01.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-5 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
3-2
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.33 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen nicked a narrow win over Lausanne Sports 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day St. Gallen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 51% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 49%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.33 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for St. Gallen and 1.33 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sports?

St. Gallen 3-2 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 39%, draw 28%, Lausanne Sports 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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