Udinese 1-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Mar 2025

Udinese
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Parma
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Udinese vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over
52%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.34
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.33
6+
6%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.49
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.56
X/2
8%
8.27
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1 ✗
3%
23.85
2/2
12%
6.27
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Udinese v Parma — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Udinese The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma The Market 28%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.90 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Udinese vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Parma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.74 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
371 Passes 350
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Parma Parma 2-3 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
21.02.2021 Parma Parma 2-2 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
18.10.2020 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
26.01.2020 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
01.09.2019 Udinese Udinese 1-3 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
19.01.2019 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTA

Udinese 1-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1 - 0
AWAY Parma
2.37 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
346 Passes 475
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Udinese vs Parma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Udinese nicked a narrow win over Parma 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Udinese had 43% of the ball to Parma's 57%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.37 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Udinese's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Udinese and 2.17 for Parma.

Udinese vs Parma Result & Final Score

Udinese 1 - 0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Parma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Udinese 51%, draw 27%, Parma 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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