Napoli 1-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Mar 2025

Napoli
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Inter
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.77
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.94
6+
5%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.48
1/2
3%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.33
X/2
15%
5.46
X/X
21%
3.96
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.54
2/X
5%
12.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Napoli v Inter — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter The Market 40%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.26 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Napoli vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
461 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 1-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.03.2024 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
22.01.2024 Napoli Napoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTSK
03.12.2023 Napoli Napoli 0-3 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
21.05.2023 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
04.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 1-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
1 - 1
AWAY Inter
1.81 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
417 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Napoli vs Inter
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli and Inter couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, possession split 62% to 38% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.81 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Napoli against 1.33 for Inter.

Napoli vs Inter Result & Final Score

Napoli 1 - 1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Inter Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napoli 29%, draw 32%, Inter 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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