Inter vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter v Napoli — Team-Based Signals
Inter vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Inter
İTA
3-1
HT 0-0
Inter
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Inter
İTA
Inter 1-1 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics
Inter and Napoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Inter at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Inter had 53% of the ball to Napoli's 47%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter and 0.83 for Napoli.
What was the final score of Inter vs Napoli?
Inter 1-1 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter vs Napoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Inter 42%, draw 26%, Napoli 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 went the other way.