Atalanta 2-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.35
X/1
19%
3.51
X/2
11%
13.3
X/X
6%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
24.0
2/2
6%
11.1
2/X
7%
19.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.94/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.83
+21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.9 Crosses 12.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Udinese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
467 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
12.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.03.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
09.10.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
09.01.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-6 HT 0-3 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
24.10.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
2-1
AWAY Udinese
0.91 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta nicked a narrow win over Udinese 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Atalanta had 54% of the ball to Udinese's 46%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Udinese?

Atalanta 2-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 55%, draw 21%, Udinese 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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