Monza 0-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 Nov 2024

Monza
0-1 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.79
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
9%
9.09
X/2
20%
3.86
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.36
2/X
10%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.07
+37% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.8 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Lazio
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
510 Passes 410
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
23.09.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 1-1 Monza Monza İTA
02.04.2023 Monza Monza 0-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
10.11.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-1
AWAY Lazio
0.96 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
426 Passes 402
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monza vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio squeezed past Monza 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monza had 51% of the ball to Lazio's 49%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.96 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Monza and 1.50 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Monza vs Lazio?

Monza 0-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Monza 23%, draw 27%, Lazio 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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