Lucchese 2-2 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.78
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
20.10.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
2-2
AWAY Athletic Carpi
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Athletic Carpi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lucchese had 56% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 44%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Athletic Carpi?

Lucchese 2-2 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 41%, draw 29%, Athletic Carpi 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lucchese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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