Vis Pesaro 0-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.8
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.97
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
27.01.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
19.09.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
26.03.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
26.11.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
27.02.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
0-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella edged past Vis Pesaro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Virtus Entella made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 45% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 55%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.17 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Virtus Entella?

Vis Pesaro 0-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 32%, draw 33%, Virtus Entella 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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