Virtus Entella 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.23
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.75/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.55
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
19.09.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
26.03.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
26.11.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
27.02.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
19.10.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Vis Pesaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 49% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.00 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Vis Pesaro?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 49%, draw 25%, Vis Pesaro 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Lecco vs Pergolettese Analysis →
00:00 Trento AC vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
00:00 Sassari Torres vs Ternana Analysis →
00:00 Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →
00:00 Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →
00:00 Milan II vs Legnago Salus Analysis →