Virtus Verona 2-2 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.89/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.96
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Triestina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
07.04.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
02.12.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.10.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTCK
01.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
02.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 3-2 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
2-2
AWAY Triestina
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Triestina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 51% of the ball to Triestina's 49%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.00 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Triestina?

Virtus Verona 2-2 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 31%, draw 28%, Triestina 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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