Triestina 0-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.59/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.95
-8% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +61%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.10.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTCK
01.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
02.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 3-2 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.02.2022 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
10.10.2021 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona nicked a narrow win over Triestina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Triestina had 59% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 41%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Triestina and 0.50 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Virtus Verona?

Triestina 0-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Triestina 54%, draw 23%, Virtus Verona 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
7 Apr 2024
15:00 ACR Messina vs Nuova Monterosi Analysis →
15:00 Sassari Torres vs Fermana Analysis →
15:00 Perugia vs Olbia 1905 Analysis →
15:00 Pontedera vs Ancona 1905 Analysis →
17:15 Recanatese vs Carrarese Analysis →
19:30 Vicenza vs Novara Analysis →