Triestina 0-2 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.51/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.01
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
02.12.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.10.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTCK
01.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
02.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 3-2 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.02.2022 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-2
AWAY Virtus Verona
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona saw off Triestina 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Triestina had 51% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Triestina and 0.67 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Virtus Verona?

Triestina 0-2 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Triestina 50%, draw 26%, Virtus Verona 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ BTTS Yes
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