Charlotte 2-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Mar 2025

Charlotte
2-0 HT 0-0
Atlanta United
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Charlotte vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.76
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.24
X/2
11%
7.4
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.6
2/2
15%
4.73
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.6 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.63
-36% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
21.0 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Charlotte vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
02.06.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
14.05.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
11.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-3 HT 0-3 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
10.04.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
13.03.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Charlotte 2-0 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-0
AWAY Atlanta United
1.40 xG 0.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
361 Passes 493
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte beat Atlanta United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Charlotte had 43% of the ball to Atlanta United's 57%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.40 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Charlotte 2-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 42%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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