Hertha Zehlendorf 4-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Zehlendorf EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.67/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.80
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Zehlendorf
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Luckenwalde
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-3 HT 0-1 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf ALMBÖL
23.07.2019 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf 3-3 HT 2-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde HAZ
POST-MATCH Hertha Zehlendorf vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Zehlendorf ran out comfortable winners over Luckenwalde 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Luckenwalde at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hertha Zehlendorf had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hertha Zehlendorf and 1.50 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Hertha Zehlendorf vs Luckenwalde?

Hertha Zehlendorf 4-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hertha Zehlendorf 27%, draw 24%, Luckenwalde 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luckenwalde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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