Hamburg II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.99/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/1.32
+48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-2 HT 2-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II and Phönix Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamburg II and 2.17 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Hamburg II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 37%, draw 26%, Phönix Lübeck 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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