FC Giessen 3-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.02/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.53
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Giessen
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
05.12.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.01.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Giessen vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Giessen saw off Mainz 05 II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Giessen and 1.80 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of FC Giessen vs Mainz 05 II?

FC Giessen 3-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Giessen vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Giessen 27%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 II 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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