Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.7pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
2.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
+31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-2 HT 2-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
02.11.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-3 HT 2-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1-1
AWAY Hamburg II
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck and Hamburg II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 58% of the ball to Hamburg II's 42%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.83 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 52%, draw 23%, Hamburg II 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5
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