Altona Magic 0-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 34%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.59
+19% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-4 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
02.03.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-3 HT 2-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
01.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-3 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
01.04.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
11.06.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-1 HT 2-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
12.03.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder squeezed past Altona Magic 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Altona Magic at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Altona Magic and 1.00 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Altona Magic 0-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 47%, draw 26%, Dandenong Thunder 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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