Altona Magic 2-3 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Altona Magic
2-3 HT 2-1
Dandenong Thunder
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Altona Magic v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.18/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.22
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.6 Crosses 23.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-3 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
01.04.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
11.06.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-1 HT 2-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
12.03.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
15.05.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder squeezed past Altona Magic 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dandenong Thunder found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Altona Magic and 1.20 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Altona Magic 2-3 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 32%, draw 29%, Dandenong Thunder 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✗ Under 2.5
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