Peninsula Power 3-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.64/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 12.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
364 Passes 248
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-3 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
20.04.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 1-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
03.06.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
25.02.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
25.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
20.03.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power saw off Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Peninsula Power and 1.83 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Peninsula Power 3-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 56%, draw 22%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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