Canberra United (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 1 Mar 2025

Canberra United (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.0pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.97/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.08
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
18.6 Crosses 13.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.5

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 2.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
219 Passes 390
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 4-2 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.02.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
22.12.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
28.10.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
10.12.2017 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.55 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
170 Passes 349
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and Melbourne City (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Melbourne City (K) carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 38% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 62%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.55 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Canberra United (K) and 2.00 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 25%, draw 21%, Melbourne City (K) 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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