Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
2.08/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.81
+17% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
18.10.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 3-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
17.05.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
08.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 1-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
1-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar edged past Velez Mostar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 53% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 47%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.67 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 50%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
1 Mar 2025
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