Semen Padang 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 42%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.80/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-37% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
18.10.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang and PSBS Biak Numfor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Semen Padang 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Semen Padang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 38%, draw 28%, PSBS Biak Numfor 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Semen Padang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Semen Padang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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