PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Oct 2024

PSBS Biak Numfor
3-2
Semen Padang
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSBS Biak Numfor v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 22%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.36
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2 Semen Padang — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor
3-2
AWAY Semen Padang
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSBS Biak Numfor edged past Semen Padang 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSBS Biak Numfor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSBS Biak Numfor had 61% of the ball to Semen Padang's 39%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?

PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSBS Biak Numfor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSBS Biak Numfor 44%, draw 29%, Semen Padang 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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