Persib Bandung 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +32%
1.64/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.87
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persib Bandung
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
284 Passes 292
20.04.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-1 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
10.12.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
19.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
08.12.2021 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
18.10.2019 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 4-1 HT 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung saw off Persebaya Surabaya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Persib Bandung and 1.40 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persib Bandung 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Persib Bandung 52%, draw 28%, Persebaya Surabaya 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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