PSM Makassar 2-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.96/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
+9% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Madura United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
287 Passes 329
21.04.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
15.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
08.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
12.09.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
24.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar got the better of Madura United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.80 for Madura United.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Madura United?

PSM Makassar 2-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 52%, draw 25%, Madura United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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