Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persib Bandung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.7pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.14
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Persib Bandung
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
292 Passes 284
18.10.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-0 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
20.04.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-1 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
10.12.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
19.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
08.12.2021 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
18.10.2019 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 4-1 HT 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4-1
AWAY Persib Bandung
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya ran out comfortable winners over Persib Bandung 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Persebaya Surabaya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 49% of the ball to Persib Bandung's 51%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 2.00 for Persib Bandung.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?

Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persib Bandung in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 35%, draw 30%, Persib Bandung 35%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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