Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.0pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.40
+89% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1-0
AWAY Fasil Ketema
25% Ball Possession 75%
1 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema edged past Fasil Ketema 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Arba Minch Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 25% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 75%, shots finished 1-9.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 32%, draw 35%, Fasil Ketema 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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