Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-7.2pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.98/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.21
+66% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-2 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
17.03.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 2-2 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha squeezed past Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopian Insurance at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 60% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 40%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 1.50 for Welayta Dicha.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Welayta Dicha?

Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 42%, draw 29%, Welayta Dicha 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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