Dijon (K) 0-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.39
-31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +120%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
15.0 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
0.33 xG 2.87
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 2
247 Passes 493
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
1 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 6-1 HT 4-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
12.11.2023 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 2-5 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
0-1
AWAY PSG (K)
0.03 xG 1.48
31% Ball Possession 69%
1 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
179 Passes 486
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
2 Box Touches 37
1 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) nicked a narrow win over Dijon (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 31% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 69%, shots finished 1-15, expected goals 0.03 to 1.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSG (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dijon (K) and 5.50 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Dijon (K) 0-1 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 22%, draw 26%, PSG (K) 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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