Saint-Étienne (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 1 Mar 2025

Saint-Étienne (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
Le Havre (K)
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Le Havre (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Étienne (K) v Le Havre (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.40/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.37
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
16.9 Crosses 19.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Le Havre (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Le Havre (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
1.08 xG 2.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
396 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 5-1 HT 3-1 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
03.02.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 4-2 HT 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-2
AWAY Le Havre (K)
1.14 xG 0.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
329 Passes 152
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
8 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Le Havre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) nicked a narrow win over Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Le Havre (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 63% of the ball to Le Havre (K)'s 37%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.69 — on chances, Saint-Étienne (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Le Havre (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 4.50 for Le Havre (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 32%, draw 22%, Le Havre (K) 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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