Pocheon 3-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.00/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
-38% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.09.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 3-1 HT 2-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
22.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 3-1 HT 2-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
08.04.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
25.06.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 2-2 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon swept aside Paju Citizen 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pocheon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pocheon and 2.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Paju Citizen?

Pocheon 3-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 42%, draw 27%, Paju Citizen 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pocheon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pocheon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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