Daejeon Korail 3-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.55/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.45
-7% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
28.09.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
31.05.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
21.07.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.04.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.06.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
05.03.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail swept aside Ulsan Citizen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Daejeon Korail as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.17 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Daejeon Korail 3-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 53%, draw 28%, Ulsan Citizen 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
1 Mar 2025
08:00 Yangpyeong vs Gangneung City Analysis →
08:00 Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong Analysis →
08:00 Pocheon vs Paju Citizen Analysis →