Ulsan Citizen 1-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.96/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.17
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.05.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
21.07.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.04.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
18.06.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
05.03.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.09.2021 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen and Daejeon Korail shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.00 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Ulsan Citizen 1-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 31%, draw 29%, Daejeon Korail 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Korail) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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