Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.69
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.06.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
19.03.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen edged past Hwaseong 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hwaseong at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 1.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 19%, draw 24%, Hwaseong 56%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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