Yeoju Sejong 0-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.01/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.53
-8% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.06.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Yeoju Sejong 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Busan Transportation made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation?

Yeoju Sejong 0-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeoju Sejong win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 35%, draw 30%, Busan Transportation 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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