Siheung Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.37/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.01
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.06.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 1-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
13.08.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
16.04.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
16.07.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 3-0 HT 3-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
03.04.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
28.03.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GKOK
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City nicked a narrow win over Siheung Citizen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Gimhae City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.17 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Siheung Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 40%, draw 25%, Gimhae City 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Siheung Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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