Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
72%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
34%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.4pp
72%
Away Win
86%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.48/3.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.75
-42% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
157 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 520 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 19.2
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajax (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
27.01.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
22.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
183 Passes 513
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
3 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) edged past Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 33% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 67%, shots finished 2-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard (K) and 3.33 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 9%, draw 18%, Ajax (K) 72%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
1 Mar 2025
18:30 Telstar (K) vs Feyenoord (K) Analysis →
18:30 PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Analysis →