Sagan Tosu 1-4 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 34%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
1-4
AWAY Imabari
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari ran out comfortable winners over Sagan Tosu 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Imabari made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 52% of the ball to Imabari's 48%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Imabari?

Sagan Tosu 1-4 Imabari in the Japan - J2 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 38%, draw 30%, Imabari 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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