JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JEF United v Montedio Yamagata — Team-Based Signals
JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
JEF United
JAP2
1-3
HT 1-1
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
2-0
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
JEF United 3-2 Montedio Yamagata — Actual Match Statistics
JEF United nicked a narrow win over Montedio Yamagata 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, JEF United had 35% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 65%, shots finished 12-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JEF United and 2.17 for Montedio Yamagata.
What was the final score of JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata?
JEF United 3-2 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata?
Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JEF United 45%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.