V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Mar 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 HT 0-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2025

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.72/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.07
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.8 Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
01.10.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
27.05.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
20.11.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
26.06.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
14.10.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
293 Passes 405
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki nicked a narrow win over Jubilo Iwata 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; V-Varen Nagasaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 43% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 57%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.00 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 37%, draw 27%, Jubilo Iwata 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ BTTS Yes
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